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Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in July?

KXU3-26JUL-T4.1

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Resolves August 7, 2026

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.1% in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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YES
86%
+1.2pts 24h
NO
14%
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No news sentiment data for the last 7 days.

Signal

Fairly pricedTake this signal

Current pricing at 86% looks fair given the news — No recent news — price up 1.2% on momentum alone

Signal accuracy on this asset: 64% over 44 signals

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Related markets

Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in July?BUY57%Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in July?HOLD10%

News

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